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 sequential decision-making system


Autonomous Capability Assessment of Sequential Decision-Making Systems in Stochastic Settings

Neural Information Processing Systems

It is essential for users to understand what their AI systems can and can't do in order to use them safely. However, the problem of enabling users to assess AI systems with sequential decision-making (SDM) capabilities is relatively understudied. This paper presents a new approach for modeling the capabilities of black-box AI systems that can plan and act, along with the possible effects and requirements for executing those capabilities in stochastic settings. We present an active-learning approach that can effectively interact with a black-box SDM system and learn an interpretable probabilistic model describing its capabilities. Theoretical analysis of the approach identifies the conditions under which the learning process is guaranteed to converge to the correct model of the agent; empirical evaluations on different agents and simulated scenarios show that this approach is few-shot generalizable and can effectively describe the capabilities of arbitrary black-box SDM agents in a sample-efficient manner.


Autonomous Capability Assessment of Sequential Decision-Making Systems in Stochastic Settings

Neural Information Processing Systems

It is essential for users to understand what their AI systems can and can't do in order to use them safely. However, the problem of enabling users to assess AI systems with sequential decision-making (SDM) capabilities is relatively understudied. This paper presents a new approach for modeling the capabilities of black-box AI systems that can plan and act, along with the possible effects and requirements for executing those capabilities in stochastic settings. We present an active-learning approach that can effectively interact with a black-box SDM system and learn an interpretable probabilistic model describing its capabilities. Theoretical analysis of the approach identifies the conditions under which the learning process is guaranteed to converge to the correct model of the agent; empirical evaluations on different agents and simulated scenarios show that this approach is few-shot generalizable and can effectively describe the capabilities of arbitrary black-box SDM agents in a sample-efficient manner.


Assessing AI Utility: The Random Guesser Test for Sequential Decision-Making Systems

Ide, Shun, Blunt, Allison, Bouneffouf, Djallel

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose a general approach to quantitatively assessing the risk and vulnerability of artificial intelligence (AI) systems to biased decisions. The guiding principle of the proposed approach is that any AI algorithm must outperform a random guesser. This may appear trivial, but empirical results from a simplistic sequential decision-making scenario involving roulette games show that sophisticated AI-based approaches often underperform the random guesser by a significant margin. We highlight that modern recommender systems may exhibit a similar tendency to favor overly low-risk options. We argue that this "random guesser test" can serve as a useful tool for evaluating the utility of AI actions, and also points towards increasing exploration as a potential improvement to such systems.